We Have Defeated Covid-19 in the US

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Al

In-Brief

1. The Democratic dream of the Biden administration achieving radical change is effectively dead. Now they are scrambling to save what they can. The big roadblocks are the unwillingness of Senators Manchin [D-WV] and Sinema [D-AZ] to vote to end the filibuster.
2. Pushback against the Cancel Culture, Critical Race Theory, Wokeness, Defund the Police, and Virtue Signaling is now exploding. Pandemic fear is fast waning and other important issues are taking center-stage. The Cancel Culture is a great evil the way that the Covid-19 pandemic has been a great evil. Both are gradually being defeated by actions of the American people.
3. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are now essentially at herd immunity. Close to 90% of American adults now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease. US cases, hospitalizations, and deaths have plummeted. Cases and deaths are now falling around the world, but the situation is terrible in many countries. BE CAREFUL IF YOU ARE VULNERABLE.
4. What had been labeled as a “crackpot right-wing Republican conspiracy theory,” that the Covid-19 pandemic was caused by a virus created in the Wuhan China Virology Institute, is now receiving scientific confirmation. Stay tuned for the monumental fallout if this proves true. Also, Dr. Fauci’s reputation is being destroyed by the revelation of his lies.
5. The US economic recovery continues to be exceedingly strong. The unemployment rate is down to 5.8% and is likely to fall to less than 5% by year’s end.

Happy Memorial Day!

The Alternative to Left & Right Spin: Accurate Facts, Analysis & Predictions

MANY OF THE 1-YEAR SUBSCRIPTIONS WILL END IN JUNE AND JULY. SOME 2-YEAR SUBSCRIPTIONS WILL DO THE SAME.

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A Blockbuster Issue

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. President Biden’s $6 trillion proposed budget is Dead-on-Arrival in the Congress as are the huge tax increases proposed in it.
2. The Democratic dream of the Biden administration achieving radical change effectively died last week.
3. Pushback against the Cancel Culture, Critical Race Theory, Wokeness, Defund the Police, and Virtue Signaling is now exploding. Pandemic fear is fast waning and other important issues are taking center-stage. The Cancel Culture is a great evil the way that the Covid-19 pandemic has been a great evil. Both are gradually being defeated.
4. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are now essentially at herd immunity. Close to 90% of American adults now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease. US cases and deaths have plummeted. Cases and deaths are now falling around the world, but the situation is terrible in many countries. BUT BE CAREFUL IF YOU ARE VULNERABLE.
5. What had been labeled as a “crackpot right-wing Republican conspiracy theory,” that the Covid-19 pandemic was caused by the virus created in the Wuhan China Virology Institute, is now receiving widespread scientific confirmation. Stay tuned for the monumental fallout if it proves true.
6. The US economic recovery continues to be exceedingly strong. The economy will likely grow by 8% this year or more. It grew by 6.4% in the 1^ST The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5% by year’s end.

Cancel Culture Attacked

The Alternative to Left & Right Spin: Accurate Facts, Analysis & Predictions

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Al

In-Brief

1. Pushback against the Cancel Culture, Critical Race Theory, Wokeness, Defund the Police, and Virtue Signaling is growing rapidly.
2. The Palestinian – Israeli War is dividing Americans and especially dividing Democrats. A ceasefire is in effect for now.
3. President Biden proposed a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that was more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form. The Republicans have offered a $600B plan that is almost all real infrastructure. The Ds have now cut their demands to $1.7T but the Rs will not accept the new D version. A compromise looks possible, but not probable, as radical Democrats and the Labor Unions are pushing hard for things the Rs will not accept. Without Republican votes this plan is dead.
4. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are essentially at herd immunity. 80 to 90% of American adults now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease.
5. The US economy is in a major recovery. The recovery continues to be exceedingly strong. The economy will likely grow by 8% this year or more. It grew by 6.4% in the 1^ST The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5% by year’s end.

Gaza – Israel War Splits Democrats

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In-Brief

1. The Palestinian – Israeli War is dividing Americans and especially dividing Democrats.
2. The ouster of Liz Cheney from the Republican House leadership will have very little long-term political effect.
3. President Biden proposed a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form. The Republicans have offered a $600B plan that is almost all real infrastructure. A compromise now looks possible but radical Democrats are pushing hard for the entire plan. Without Republican votes this plan is dead.
4. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near herd immunity. 80 to 90% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease.
5. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The recovery has been V-shaped, and the economy will likely grow by 8% this year or more. It grew by 6.4% in the 1^ST The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5% by year’s end. The most recent jobs report was +266,000 jobs but many more were expected. Watch the next two months of reports to see if this was a blip or a trend.

Democrats Demanding Solutions on the Southern Border

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NOTE TO READERS
I thought it would be useful to describe to you my goals for the TR and my main methods.

• TR land is not the land of Chicken Little where the sky is always falling.
• It is also not Pollyanna land where everything is just fine.
• TR land is the land of accurate researched facts, accurate analyses, and accurate predictions.
• Each year I make 60 to 80 predictions at the start of the year. Experts disagree vehemently about the issues I address. From 2017 through 2020 my predictions have been correct 90% of the time.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. Biden faces increasing demands from Democrats in TX, NM, and AZ for action to solve the southern border crisis.
2. VP Harris, appointed by Biden to deal with the border problems, is still a total no-show at the border or in a press conference.
3. President Biden proposed a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form and may not pass at all because several Senate Democrats oppose major parts of it. Republicans support only the real infrastructure components of the bill, which represent well less than one-half of the spending. The Republicans have offered a $600B plan that is almost all real infrastructure. A compromise now looks possible but radical Democrats are pushing hard for the entire plan. Without Republican votes this plan is dead.
4. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near herd immunity. 80 to 90% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease.
5. President Biden’s overall approval rating in the Rasmussen Poll is 51% and his disapproval rating is 47%.
6. Vaccinations against Covid, with vaccines from Pfizer, Moderna, and J&J, have reached over 265 million doses administered. There have been very few serious reactions to the vaccines in the US.
7. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The recovery has been V-shaped, and the economy will likely grow by 8% this year or more. It grew by 6.4% in the 1^ST The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5% by year’s end. The jobs report last Friday was +266,000 jobs but many more were expected. Watch the next two months of reports to see if this was a blip or a trend.

President Biden – Divider in Chief

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NOTE TO READERS
I thought it would be useful to describe to you my goals for the TR and my main methods.

• TR land is not the land of Chicken Little where the sky is always falling.
• It is also not Pollyanna land where everything is just fine.
• TR land is the land of accurate researched facts, accurate analyses, and accurate predictions.
• Each year I make 60 to 80 predictions at the start of the year. Experts disagree vehemently about the issues I address. From 2017 through 2020 my predictions have been correct 90% of the time.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. President Biden’s speech to a joint-session of Congress highlighted the radicalism he has adopted, his lack of bipartisanship, and how he is adding to the disunity in the country.
2. Other than dozens of Executive Orders and making proposals that are going nowhere, the Biden-Harris administration is in disarray as it reaches 100 Days in office.
3. The crisis at the southern border keeps getting worse according to both Ds and Rs. Biden, himself, now admits it is a crisis, although the White House says he did not mean what he clearly said.
4. VP Harris, appointed by Biden to deal with the border problems, is still a total no-show for a full month.
5. President Biden proposes a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form and may not pass at all because several Senate Democrats oppose major parts of it. Republicans support only the real infrastructure components of the bill, which represent well less than one-half of the spending. The Republicans have offered a $600B plan that is almost all real infrastructure. A compromise now looks possible but radical Democrats are pushing hard for the entire plan.
6. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near herd immunity. 80 to 90% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease.
7. President Biden’s overall approval rating in the Rasmussen Poll is 47% and his disapproval rating is 51%. He has 29% strong approval and 42% strong disapproval – a minus 13 index score.
8. Vaccinations against Covid, with vaccines from Pfizer, Moderna, and J&J, have reached over 250 million doses administered. There have been very few serious reactions to the vaccines in the US.
9. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The recovery has been V-shaped, and the economy will likely grow by 8% this year or more. It grew by 6.4% in the 1^ST The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5%.

Biden-Harris: Much Proposed, Little Enacted

The Alternative to Left & Right Spin: Accurate Facts, Analysis & Predictions

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NOTE TO READERS
I thought it would be useful to describe to you my goals for the TR and my main methods.

• TR land is not the land of Chicken Little where the sky is always falling.
• It is also not Pollyanna land where everything is just fine.
• TR land is the land of accurate researched facts, accurate analyses, and accurate predictions.
• Each year I make 60 to 80 predictions at the start of the year. Experts disagree vehemently about the issues I address. From 2017 through 2020 my predictions have been correct 90% of the time.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. Other than dozens of Executive Orders and making proposals that are going nowhere, the Biden-Harris administration is in disarray as it approaches 100 Days in office.
2. The crisis at the southern border keeps getting worse according to both Ds and Rs. Biden, himself, now admits it is a crisis, although the White House says he did not mean what he clearly said.
3. VP Harris, appointed by Biden to deal with the border problems, was a total no-show for a full month.
4. President Biden proposes a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form and may not pass at all because several Senate Democrats oppose major parts of it. Republicans support only the real infrastructure components of the bill, which represent well less than one-half of the spending. The Republicans have offered a $600B plan that is almost all real infrastructure. A compromise now looks likely.
5. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near herd immunity. Over 80% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease.
6. President Biden’s overall approval rating in the Rasmussen Poll is 52% and his disapproval rating is to 46%. He has 33% strong approval and 40% strong disapproval – a minus 7 index score.
7. Vaccinations against Covid, with vaccines from Pfizer, Moderna, and J&J, have reached over 220 million doses administered. There have been very few serious reactions to the vaccines in the US. The use of the J&J vaccine had been paused because 7 of 7,000,000 doses may have caused blood clots in younger women. This is 0.00001 percent. The FDA has now reinstated it’s use across the country.
8. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The recovery has been V-shaped, and the economy will likely grow by 8% this year or more. The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5%.

Biden Admin Floundering

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In-Brief

1. The Biden-Harris administration is in disarray as it approaches 100 Days in office.
2. The crisis at the southern border keeps getting worse according to both Ds and Rs. Biden, himself, now admits it is a crisis. VP Harris, appointed by Biden to fix the border problems, is a total no-show.
3. President Biden proposes a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form and may not pass at all because several Senate Democrats oppose major parts of it. Republicans support only the real infrastructure components of the bill, which represent well less than one-half of the spending.
4. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near or at herd immunity. Over 80% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease. The UK is estimated to have hit herd immunity and the US is close behind.
5. President Biden’s overall approval rating in the Rasmussen Poll is 49% and his disapproval rating is to 49%. He has 31% strong approval and 41% strong disapproval – a minus 10 index score.
6. Vaccinations against Covid, with vaccines from Pfizer, Moderna, and J&J, have reached over 220 million doses administered. There have been very few serious reactions to the vaccines in the US. The use of the J&J vaccine has been paused because 7 of 7,000,000 doses may have caused blood clots in younger women. This is 0.00001 percent.
7. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The recovery has been V-shaped, and the economy will likely grow by 6 to 8% this year or more. The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5%.

Crisis at Border Worsens

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In-Brief

1. The crisis at the southern border keeps getting worse according to both Ds and Rs. Biden’s Border “Czar” on the National Security Council is resigning after just a few months in the job. VP Harris, appointed by Biden to fix the border problems, is a total no-show.
2. President Biden proposes a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form and may not pass at all because several Senate Democrats oppose major parts of it. Republicans support only the real infrastructure components of the bill, which represent less than one-half of the spending.
3. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near or at herd immunity. Over 80% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease. The UK is projected to hit herd immunity today and the US is close behind.
4. President Biden’s overall approval rating in the Rasmussen Poll is 50% and his disapproval rating is to 48%. He has 33% strong approval and 41% strong disapproval – a minus 8 index score.
5. Vaccinations against Covid, with vaccines from Pfizer, Moderna, and J&J, have reached over 180 million doses administered. There have been very few serious reactions to the vaccines in the US. There is increasing evidence that the worst of the pandemic in the US will be over by mid-spring, about the end of April. REMEMBER THAT THE END OF THE PANDEMIC DOESN’T MEAN YOU CANNOT GET COVID, JUST THAT IT IS VERY UNLIKELY. IT IS LIKE GETTING THE FLU LONG AFTER THE FLU SEASON IS OVER.
6. Most of the rest of the world is still having serious and mounting Covid-19 problems, with rapidly rising cases and deaths.
7. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The recovery has been V-shaped, and the economy will likely grow by 6 to 8% this year. The unemployment rate is likely to fall to less than 5%.

The Cancel Culture Strikes in Atlanta

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In-Brief

1. The hypocrisy of MLB pulling the All-Star game from Atlanta because of Georgia’s new voting laws is off-the-charts. President Biden pushed that move even though many states have more restrictive election laws. Watch for a serious and long-term backlash to this move.
2. President Biden proposes a $2.3T “infrastructure” bill that is more of a social-welfare bill than an infrastructure bill. It will not pass in its current form and may not pass at all.
3. More progress on winning the war against Covid-19. We are near or at herd immunity. About 75% of Americans now have Covid-19 antibodies in our bodies which resist the disease.
4. President Biden’s overall approval rating in the Rasmussen Poll is 48% and his disapproval rating is at 50%. He has 31% strong approval and 41% strong disapproval – a minus 10 score.
5. Vaccinations against Covid have reached over 160 million doses administered. There is increasing evidence that the worst of the pandemic in the US will be over by mid-spring, about a month from now. Most of the rest of the world is still having serious and mounting problems, with rising cases and deaths.
6. The US economy began a strong recovery last June. The huge 3^rd quarter GDP gain shows the recovery is V-shaped. The initial GDP estimates for the 1^st quarter of 2021 look strong. The new stimulus package, passed several weeks ago, will speed up the economy further.