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The Tuchfarber Report is unique in this era of spin by partisan analysts, fake news, and “experts” who are glib, but often wrong. The Tuchfarber Report is not about ideological spin from the right or left…it is about being accurate.

This is the only report that presents a clear picture of American politics as well as global politics and economics.

With a paid subscription to The Tuchfarber Report, you will get full access to my weekly in-depth reports and analyses.  This goes beyond the Headlines and In-Brief sections to provide non-partisan accurate analyses.

Democrats Empower Kangaroo Court

Democrats Empower Kangaroo Court

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In-Brief

  1. The House Democrats replaced an informal kangaroo court with a formal one for the Trump impeachment investigation.
  2. Republicans are now firmly united against impeachment.
  3. Elizabeth Warren is target #1 and is suffering from attacks on her but remains the most likely nominee.
  4. Trump remains 90% likely to be re-elected.
  5. The odds of the House impeaching Trump are now high, but the odds of the Senate removing Trump remain at ZERO.
  6. Brexit for Briton to be determined by December 12 election.
  7. The Insight: “All truths are half-truths.” Noted philosopher Alfred North Whitehead. [Think about it; it helps to clarify where we are today, where the middle-ground is rejected for “woke” political correctness.]
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Road to Remove Trump Full of Obstacles

Road to Remove Trump Full of Obstacles

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In-Brief

  1. The effort to impeach and remove Trump still has many twists and turns it can and will take.
  2. Much hand-wringing by Democrats as they worry about having no one who can defeat Trump.
  3. Elizabeth Warren is now target #1 and is suffering from attacks on her.
  4. US special forces kill ISIS leader Baghdadi, demonstrating US power, reach, and commitment to punish terrorism.
  5. The odds of the House impeaching Trump stay at 50-50 and the odds of the Senate removing Trump at ZERO.
  6. The Joke: “Women are cursed, and men are the proof.” Roseanne Barr.
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Ugliness and Ineptitude from Our Leaders

Ugliness and Ineptitude from Our Leaders

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Al

In-Brief

  1. Our political leaders and sports stars presented us with a very ugly week. Trump, Pelosi, and Lebron James showed ineptness and disgusting values.
  2. The Democratic debate shifts the playing field a bit.
  3. Elizabeth Warren demonstrates both major strengths and substantial weaknesses as the Democratic nomination leader.
  4. China’s “Emperor” Xi promises crushed bodies and shattered bones to the Hong Kong protestors.
  5. The odds of the House impeaching Trump stay at 50-50 and the odds of the Senate removing Trump ay ZERO.
  6. The Insight: “I have a new philosophy. I’m only going to dread one day at a time.” Peanuts Cartoonist Charles Schulz.
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Trump & House Ds Battle Over Impeachment, But Senate Decides; 70 of 72 of 2019 TR Predictions Correct… Zero-Incorrect… 2 DK

Trump & House Ds Battle Over Impeachment, But Senate Decides; 70 of 72 of 2019 TR Predictions Correct… Zero-Incorrect… 2 DK

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Al

In-Brief

  1. The House Democrats and the President are politically and legally maneuvering over the procedures to be used in the House impeachment process if it goes ahead. All need to remember that the Senate is ultimately the deciding body and the chances of Trump being removed by that body are essentially zero.
  2. “Progressive” Democratic candidates, especially Elizabeth Warren, now have a large and growing lead over mainstream Democrats for their party’s nomination. Bernie Sanders’ health problems seriously damage his chances.
  3. Elizabeth Warren will be target #1 among the Democrats at the Tuesday debate.
  4. Hillary Clinton hints she might join the nomination battle.
  5. The US and China appear to agree on a limited trade deal.
  6. The Joke: Someone stole my Microsoft Office and they’re gonna pay. You have my Word.
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The Odds of Trump Impeachment, Removal & Re-Election

The Odds of Trump Impeachment, Removal & Re-Election

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Al

In-Brief

  1. There is now a 50-50 chance the House will impeach Trump.
  2. The odds Trump will be removed by the Senate remain at zero.
  3. The probability Trump will be re-elected increases to 90 percent.
  4. “Progressive” Democratic candidates, especially Elizabeth Warren, now have a large and growing lead over mainstream Democrats for their party’s nomination. Bernie Sanders’ health problems seriously damage his chances.
  5. Watch Hillary Clinton to see if she hints she might join the nomination battle.
  6. China has begun what is likely to be a slow, protracted crack-down on the Hong Kong protestors.
  7. The Joke: Someday we’ll look back on this moment and plow into a parked car.
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The Voters Might Remove Trump, Not the Democrats

The Voters Might Remove Trump, Not the Democrats

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Al

In-Brief

  1. There is some chance the House will impeach Trump, but essentially zero chance the Senate will vote to remove him. Only the voters, next November, might remove him. An impeachment now by the Democratic House makes Trump’s re-election more likely, not less likely.
  2. “Progressive” Democratic candidates, especially Elizabeth Warren, now have a large and growing lead over mainstream Democrats for their party’s nomination.
  3. PREDICTION: Joe Biden will not be the Democratic nominee.
  4. The Gallup Poll shows trust of the media among political independents to be very low at 36%.
  5. China’s electric vehicle market collapse may be a warning for many.
  6. TR INSIGHT: Don’t jump to conclusions. Think, investigate, collect facts, and remember history.
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Elizabeth Warren Surges

Elizabeth Warren Surges

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Al

In-Brief

  1. Elizabeth Warrens is surging and now pressuring Biden for the lead in the Democratic nomination race. A PREDICTION: In the October 15 Democratic debate, Elizabeth Warren, rather than Joe Biden, will be the main target of attacks.
  2. A whistleblower has roiled Washington with accusations President Trump illegally pushed Ukraine’s new leader to investigate Joe Biden and his son, Hunter. The facts are vastly more complicated than that and go back into the Obama administration. Keep your powder dry on this one.
  3. The Iranians are desperate to get Trump to respond militarily to their attacks, but so far Trump is sticking to economic sanctions that are devastating Iran.
  4. As the trade negotiations with the US resume, China is in trouble economically on many fronts, as well as politically in Hong Kong.
  5. THE JOKE: You’re not completely useless, you can always serve as a bad example.
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Democratic Debates Remain Circular-Firing-Squads

Democratic Debates Remain Circular-Firing-Squads

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Al

In-Brief

  1. The Democrat’s “circular-firing squad” debates continue with active prodding from the media.
  2. The September 12 Democratic debate changed the campaign dynamics very little.
  3. China blinks in the trade war and Trump makes nice.
  4. Bolton bites the dust.
  5. THE JOKE: You don’t need a parachute to go skydiving. You need a parachute to go skydiving twice.
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Democrats Prepare for Raucous Thursday Debate – Eight Progressives v. One Liberal & Joe Biden

Democrats Prepare for Raucous Thursday Debate – Eight Progressives v. One Liberal & Joe Biden

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In-Brief

  1. Beware of those who prognosticate the Democratic race is down to Biden, Warren, and Sanders.
  2. The September 12 Democratic debate is set with eight progressive-leftists, one establishment liberal, and Joe Biden. The former VP is searching for a winning position in between progressive-leftism and mainstream liberalism.
  3. China fears that America and its companies are going to “de-couple” from the country.
  4. The Chinese yuan and GDP plummet against the US dollar and GDP.
  5. THE JOKE: “Always remember you are unique... just like everyone else.”
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Comey Castigated for Improper Actions; Democrats Prepare for Next Debate

Comey Castigated for Improper Actions; Democrats Prepare for Next Debate

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Al

In-Brief

  1. James Comey was castigated in report by the DOJ Inspector General. Expect a great deal more to come out on the soft silent coup against Trump.
  2. The September 12 debate is set with eight progressive-leftists, one establishment liberal, and Joe Biden in-between.
  3. China’s terrible population demographics threaten its future economic success.
  4. The Business Roundtable tries to redefine capitalism.
  5. THE JOKE: “I used to think I was indecisive, but now I’m not so sure.”
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