Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Leads the Brat Pack; Losing Ross Perot

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In-Brief

1. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leads the Brat Pack in deeply offensive attacks on Speaker Pelosi.
2. We lost a unique and valuable American with the death of Ross Perot.
3. Good times -- record high employment, stock market records, and interest rate cuts to come.
4. THE JOKE: “People who want to share their religious and political views with you... almost never want you to share yours with them.”

Harris Soars & Biden’s Woes Continue; Additional Predictions for 2019

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In-Brief

1. Kamala Harris surges near the top.
2. Joe Biden continues his gaffe-laden trail of political self-destruction.
3. Eight new predictions for 2019.
4. China loses to Hong Kong’s people in the current confrontation, but Hong Kong is doomed to totalitarian rule by China.
5. Understanding Chief Justice Robert’s enigmatic leadership of the Supreme Court.
6. THE JOKE: “What do you call a Russia procrastinator? ...Putinoff!”

Midyear 2019 Predictions Update; Democratic Debates Become a Circular Firing Squad

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In-Brief

1. Over 95% of the Tuchfarber Report predictions for 2019 are correct so far.
2. The Democratic debates last week were a circular firing squad with Kamala Harris and Donald Trump being the big winners.
3. Because of the debate debacle, the odds a Democrat will win the Presidency in 2020 drops to 14%, down from 21% last month.
4. Biden and Sanders were diminished by the debates and Kamala Harris gained stature.
5. Trump and China’s Xi extended trade talks in an effort to agree on an acceptable deal.
6. THE JOKE: “Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it, misdiagnosing it and then applying the wrong remedies.”

Coming Next Week

• Additional predictions for the rest of 2019
• Further analysis on impact of Democratic debates
   

The Demise and Collapse of America’s Enemies; Here Come the Democratic Debates

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In-Brief

1. A shooting war with Iran is averted for now.
2. The high stakes Democratic debates begin this week with the promise of being chaotic, reveling, and raucous.
3. Joe Biden has another terrible week with major controversies around his friendships with southern Democratic segregationist Senators and accusations of political corruption on ABC News involving the VP and his son, Hunter.
4. China loses to Hong Kong’s people in the current confrontation, but Hong Kong is doomed to totalitarian rule by China.
5. Mayor Pete Buttigieg faces a crisis in South Bend as an officer shoots and kills a black citizen. Meanwhile, a NY woman has accused Donald Trump of raping her in the 1990s in a department store.
6. THE JOKE: “I think we should get rid of democracy. All in favor raise your hand.”

Coming Next Week

• The Mid-year Report on Accuracy of the Seventy-two Tuchfarber Predictions for 2019
• The Winners and Losers in the Democratic Debates
• Trade Deal or Extended Trade War with China?

Heading Toward a Shooting War with Iran?; Biden Says Obama Administration Had No Scandals or Lies. Huh?

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In-Brief

1. Could we be headed toward a shooting war with Iran?
2. Trump foolishly said he’d take info on a political opponent from a foreign source. That is illegal. It’s also a felony as many connected to Hillary Clinton’s bought-and-paid-for, foreign-sourced “Trump Dossier” are going to discover.
3. Joe Biden claims the Obama administration had no scandals or lies. That is a doozy of a lie.
4. Two high stakes Democratic debates in a week and one-half.
5. China reneges on the promise of special status and separate political and economic systems for Hong Kong.
6. THE JOKE: “I don’t believe in political jokes. I’ve seen too many get elected.”

Trump Wins Battle with Mexico, Dazzles in Europe; Biden Has Disastrous Week

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In-Brief

1. President Trump appears to have won the Immigration – Trade War with Mexico without having to fire a “shot.”
2. With a near flawless performance in Europe during the D-Day anniversary commemorations, Trump dazzled the Brits and many others.
3. Joe Biden had a political week from hell with slip-ups and strategic errors likely to cause him serious damage.
4. Among the candidates for the Democratic nomination, only Biden has seen much movement up-or-down over the last 30 days, seeing his support decline by 7 points.
5. China’s President Xi, while in Russia, offers very conciliatory remarks to Trump.
6. THE JOKE: “The first computer dates back to Adam and Eve. It was an Apple with limited memory, just one byte, and then it crashed.”

Mueller Prolongs Impeachment Saga; Biden Slips in the Polls

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In-Brief

1. Robert Mueller’s speech adds little to impeachment saga but extends the hysteria a bit.
2. Pressure from Democrats for impeachment of Trump puts Speaker Pelosi in a political bind. But she is unlikely to allow the process to be initiated because it would badly harm her party.
3. Biden slips a bit in the Democratic nomination polls.
4. The new trade war with Mexico over the immigration crisis is not likely to last long.
5. China’s dreams of dominating the Pacific and the globe are not realistic.
6. THE JOKE: “Moses had the first tablet that could be connected to the cloud.”

Investigating the Investigators; The Impeachment Saga Continues; US Split 50-50 on Abortion

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In-Brief

1. President Trump delegates to AG Barr total authority to declassify documents related to the beginnings of the Trump – Russia collusion probe.
2. Pressure from Democrats for impeachment of Trump puts Speaker Pelosi in an impossible bind.
3. The US is an evenly divided 50-50 nation over abortion rights and pro-choice v. pro-life.
4. China’s President Xi prepares his people for difficult times.
5. THE JOKE: “I find it ironic that the colors red, white, and blue stand for freedom until they are flashing behind you.”

Investigating the FBI and CIA Investigators; A Week of Political Posturing

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In-Brief

1. Attorney General Barr names a prosecutor to investigate the Trump-Russia collusion case investigators.
2. Alabama enacts an anti-abortion law that will almost surely provoke Supreme Court review.
3. President Trump’s immigration reform proposal is DOA in the Congress but provides a basis for future deal-making.
4. China plays at weak hand in the trade war.
5. THE JOKE: “I asked my North Korean friend how it was there, he said he couldn’t complain.”

Biden with Large Lead; China Trade Talks Collapse

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In-Brief

1. Biden leads huge Democratic field.
2. Biden has numerous strengths but also many weaknesses.
3. China misreads Trump’s resolve and trade talks fail.
4. Foreign leaders prey on Trump’s ego.
5. THE JOKE: “A recent study found that women who carry a little extra weight live longer than the men who mention it.”