A Trade Deal, but a Weak One; The Democratic Candidates Get Pushed Left; Saturday a Day of Struggle in Venezuela

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In-Brief

1. Any US-China trade deal this year will be weak and incomplete because, for political reasons, neither Trump nor Xi can afford a serious economic slowdown late this year or in 2020.
2. The Democratic candidates for the Democratic nomination to run against Trump keep pushing each other to the left, worrying mainstream party leaders.
3. On Saturday, February 23, in Venezuela, interim President Guiado confronted the socialist dictator Maduro over emergency aid crossing the borders.
4. Don’t pay much attention to the Democratic nomination “horse race” polls now. They measure little but name recognition at this point.
5. The Joke: ”A backward poet writes inverse.”

Next Week Begins the Detailed 2020 Election Coverage.

Deal Averts New Shutdown; Capitalism Vastly More Popular than Socialism; Saturday a Fateful Day for Venezuela

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In-Brief

1. Congressional leaders avert a new shutdown with Trump’s support. Trump plans to declare emergency over security at the southern border.
2. Poll measures popularity of socialism and capitalism with capitalism overwhelmingly preferred.
3. Saturday, February 23 may be a fateful day in Venezuela as interim President Guiado confronts the socialist dictator Maduro over emergency aid crossing the borders.
4. The Joke: ”If George Washington were alive today, why couldn’t he throw a silver dollar across the Potomac? Because a dollar doesn’t go as far as it used to.”

Memorable State of the Union Address; Petulant Democrats; Nightmarish Two Weeks for Dems

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In-Brief

1. Trump delivers a masterful and “Presidential” State of the Union.
2. Democrats at SOTU behave like children.
3. Trump get 5% approval bounce from SOTU.
4. Just about everything that could go wrong for the Democrats did so over the last two weeks.
5. The Joke: ”If love is blind, why is lingerie so popular?”

Border Wall Battle Continues; China’s Future; Abortion Issue Resurfaces

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In-Brief

1. The Federal government is fully open until February 15, but the battle continues over the border wall. A bi-partisan House and Senate conference committee is now attempting to craft a deal on the wall and immigration.
2. China’s past economic and political policy choices threaten its future.
3. New York’s extreme abortion law places the issue back on the front page.
4. Venezuela continues in political and economic chaos.
5. Chinese companies forced to exit US commercial real-estate markets by the Chinese government.
6. The Joke: ”What do you get when you cross a snowman and a vampire?... Frost bite!”

Democrats Win Initial Battle Over Border Wall; Venezuela in Chaos; Major Risks to China’s Political and Economic Health

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In-Brief

1. The Federal government is fully open until February 15 as Trump loses the first battle in the Border Wall - Immigration war. A bi-partisan House and Senate conference committee will now attempt to craft a deal on the wall and immigration.
2. China’s economic and political policy choices threaten its future.
3. Venezuela is in political and economic chaos. Socialism is on the retreat in another important country.
4. Americans are satisfied with the overall quality of life but dissatisfied with important areas of American life and the country’s institutional structure.
5. The Joke: ”If con is the opposite of pro, then is Congress the opposite of progress?”

Trump Tries a New Tack; Average Americans Experience Little Distress from Shutdown; Risks to China’s Economic Health

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In-Brief

1. Trump offers a deal to Pelosi and Schumer.
2. The average American is experiencing little or no distress from the government shutdown so far.
3. China’s economic policy choices threaten its future.
4. PROGRESS – Cancer death rates fall dramatically.
5. The Joke: During a previous government shutdown, Jay Leno asked his audience two questions. - “How many are worried about the government shutdown?” and “How many are more worried about it starting back up?”

Shut-down Shows No Sign of Ending; Liberal Ds and Conservative Rs Dominate; China’s History Shapes its Uncertain Future

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In-Brief

1. The shut-down continues with posturing from both sides and little serious negotiation.
2. China’s history and policy choices shape its future.
3. The US political parties become more and more ideological and polarized.
4. Lifespans increase dramatically across the globe.
5. The Joke: “If you could kick the person responsible for most of your trouble, you wouldn’t sit down for a month.” Teddy Roosevelt

Political Hopes and Fears as 2019 Begins; What’s Up with the Shut-Down?; 2018 Predictions Evaluated

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In-Brief

1. Get real and ignore all the heated, absurd political rhetoric!
2. The government shut-down unlikely to end soon.
3. China struggles under its self-inflicted economic disasters.
4. The Joke: A vulture boards an airplane, carrying two dead raccoons. The stewardess looks at him and says, “I’m sorry sir, only one carrion allowed per passenger.”

Predictions for 2019; Government Shut-Down Now a Symbolic Battle for Power; Heads High, America!; Happy New Year!

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In-Brief

1. The Joke: My New Year’s resolution is to break my New Year’s Resolution... so that I succeed at something!
2. The battle between Trump and the Democrats over the Border Wall and government shut-down is no longer about policy but about symbolism and power.
3. The most-admired Americans may surprise you.
4. Never forget who we Americans are, what we stand for, and what all of us have achieved!

Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays!

Publishing Schedule
December 24 - No Report
December 31 - Report & 2019 Predictions - Don't Miss Them!

Trump Impeachment or Indictment?; Macron Caves to the Populist Yellow Vests; China Blinks Again in the Economic War with the US

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In-Brief

1. Can Trump be impeached or indicted? Will he?
2. The Yellow Vest movement against the French establishment and President Macron wins the battle.
3. China says it is dropping its 2025 Plan for dominating future technology and high value markets for a new unspecified plan that is fairer to the rest of the world. Don’t hold your breath.
4. The Democrats won the 2018 midterms, but the Republicans added to their Senate majority. The Ds also gained governorships and control of several state legislatures.
5. THE JOKE: Two unwise Eskimos sitting in a kayak were very cold, so they carefully started a fire. Not careful enough – and, of course, the kayak sank. THE MORAL: You can’t have your kayak and heat it too.