Trump Tries a New Tack; Average Americans Experience Little Distress from Shutdown; Risks to China’s Economic Health

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In-Brief

1. Trump offers a deal to Pelosi and Schumer.
2. The average American is experiencing little or no distress from the government shutdown so far.
3. China’s economic policy choices threaten its future.
4. PROGRESS – Cancer death rates fall dramatically.
5. The Joke: During a previous government shutdown, Jay Leno asked his audience two questions. - “How many are worried about the government shutdown?” and “How many are more worried about it starting back up?”

Shut-down Shows No Sign of Ending; Liberal Ds and Conservative Rs Dominate; China’s History Shapes its Uncertain Future

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In-Brief

1. The shut-down continues with posturing from both sides and little serious negotiation.
2. China’s history and policy choices shape its future.
3. The US political parties become more and more ideological and polarized.
4. Lifespans increase dramatically across the globe.
5. The Joke: “If you could kick the person responsible for most of your trouble, you wouldn’t sit down for a month.” Teddy Roosevelt

Political Hopes and Fears as 2019 Begins; What’s Up with the Shut-Down?; 2018 Predictions Evaluated

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In-Brief

1. Get real and ignore all the heated, absurd political rhetoric!
2. The government shut-down unlikely to end soon.
3. China struggles under its self-inflicted economic disasters.
4. The Joke: A vulture boards an airplane, carrying two dead raccoons. The stewardess looks at him and says, “I’m sorry sir, only one carrion allowed per passenger.”

Predictions for 2019; Government Shut-Down Now a Symbolic Battle for Power; Heads High, America!; Happy New Year!

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In-Brief

1. The Joke: My New Year’s resolution is to break my New Year’s Resolution... so that I succeed at something!
2. The battle between Trump and the Democrats over the Border Wall and government shut-down is no longer about policy but about symbolism and power.
3. The most-admired Americans may surprise you.
4. Never forget who we Americans are, what we stand for, and what all of us have achieved!

Merry Christmas & Happy Holidays!

Publishing Schedule
December 24 - No Report
December 31 - Report & 2019 Predictions - Don't Miss Them!

Trump Impeachment or Indictment?; Macron Caves to the Populist Yellow Vests; China Blinks Again in the Economic War with the US

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In-Brief

1. Can Trump be impeached or indicted? Will he?
2. The Yellow Vest movement against the French establishment and President Macron wins the battle.
3. China says it is dropping its 2025 Plan for dominating future technology and high value markets for a new unspecified plan that is fairer to the rest of the world. Don’t hold your breath.
4. The Democrats won the 2018 midterms, but the Republicans added to their Senate majority. The Ds also gained governorships and control of several state legislatures.
5. THE JOKE: Two unwise Eskimos sitting in a kayak were very cold, so they carefully started a fire. Not careful enough – and, of course, the kayak sank. THE MORAL: You can’t have your kayak and heat it too.

The Yellow Vest Movement Threatens Europe's Establishments; The US-China Economic War Continues; GHW Bush Gets Deserved Accolades

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In-Brief

1. The Yellow Vest movement against the French establishment and President Macron continues and spreads to the Netherlands and Belgium.
2. The arrest of Meng Wanzhou, the CFO of China’s electronics giant, Huawei, becomes an important incident in the US-China Economic Cold War.
3. The Democrats won a major victory in the US House, but the Republicans salvaged a key power base by adding to their Senate majority.
4. George Herbert Walker Bush gets deserved plaudits for his masterful foreign policy and his personal kindness.
5. THE JOKE: A grenade thrown into a kitchen in France would result in Linoleum Blownapart.

The US V. China Trade War Postponed; Democrats Skillfully Win Big in the US House; Ohio Moves Into the Republican Column

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In-Brief

1. The Democrats won a major victory in the US House and will take firm control in January.
2. Regardless of the truce announced after the Trump-Xi dinner at the G-20 meetings, a full-scale trade and economic war will continue.
3. Ohio is now a solidly “red” Republican state.
4. What are the best and worst case scenarios for the Democrats and Republicans in 2020?
5. THE JOKE: The midget fortune-teller who escaped from prison was a small medium at large.

No Wave, But Big Democratic Gains; Chaos in Vote Counting; China Continues to Edge Toward Recession

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PLEASE NOTE: THE TUCHFARBER REPORT WILL NOT BE PUBLISHED NEXT WEEK, NOV. 26. WE ARE TAKING A HOLIDAY BREAK.

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Al

In-Brief

1. 2018 produced a NO WAVE election, but one in which the Democrats did much better than the Republicans.
2. Chaos in the vote counting and possible fraud is widespread.
3. What are the key indicators to watch between now and the 2020 Presidential election?
4. France’s Macron and Germany’s Merkel go off the rails.
5. China edges closer to a major economic collapse.
6. THE JOKE: When the cannibals ate a missionary, they got a taste of religion.

Indeed, A No Wave Election; Democrats take the House; Republicans Gain in Senate; The Border/Immigration Issue Along with Jobs and Health Care Dominate

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In-Brief

1. 2018 produced a NO WAVE election, but one in which the Democrats did better than the Republicans.
2. The Democrats won the US House handily.
3. The Republicans took targeted Senate seats currently held by Democrats.
4. Working for the Republicans were the jobs and border control/immigration issues. President Trump’s rallies drew massive crowds.
5. Working very well for the Democrats was the health care issue.
6. For President Trump, the elections were a mixed bag... both triumphs and failures.
7. Overall turnout was up massively compared to any recent midterm, with both parties adding millions of voters.
8. THE JOKE: No matter how much you push the envelope, it’ll still be stationery.

Still A No Wave Election; Democrats Gain in House; Republicans Gain in Senate; The Border/Immigration Issue Along with Jobs and Health Care Dominate

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In-Brief

1. The Democrats are projected to win US House seats, but control of the chamber is up in the air. Turnout is the key.
2. The Republicans target competitive Senate seats currently held by Democrats. Many Senate races are too close to call.
3. Working for the Republicans are the jobs and border control/immigration issues. President Trump’s rallies have drawn massive turn-outs.
4. Working for the Democrats is the health care issue. Rallies highlighting President Obama and 2020 candidate Joe Biden have drawn more modest crowds.
5. If the Republicans do better than predicted, President Trump will deserve the credit. If the Democrats do better than forecast, the President will have earned the blame.
6. Overall turnout is expected to be up substantially from the 2010 and 2014 midterms, but which party gets a bigger advantage is still an unknown. High turn-outs favor the Democrats.
7. FINAL Prediction – The Republicans will gain anywhere from 2 to 6 US Senate seats. [Change from 3-8.]
8. FINAL Prediction – The Democrats will gain anywhere from 5 to 22 US House seats. [Change from 5 to 18.]
9. THE JOKE: In a democracy it’s your vote that counts. In feudalism it’s your count that votes.