Putin & Xi Are Losing – Not Winning

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In-Brief

1. The approval ratings of President Biden and VP Harris continue to hover around 40%. It is hard to see what they can to do to raise those numbers meaningfully before the November elections. If they cannot, the Republicans will have large majorities in both houses of Congress.
2. Supreme Court Justice Breyer is retiring. Expect a bitter fight over confirming the Biden promised black female nominee if she is a radical, but minimal ugly fighting if he chooses a mainstream liberal. Any appointment based on race is WRONG. But Biden’s nomination of a black female is baked in the cake.
3. Russia has made serious threats of an invasion of the Ukraine through their actions and words. The US and Europe have responded very strongly. The West’s reactions have been and will be political, financial, and economic, and will be devastating for Russia and its oligarchs. A shooting war between Russia and the US and NATO is extremely unlikely unless Putin attacks a NATO country directly. President Biden has handled this crisis well so far, but the American people want no part of a war. Putin has created a lose-lose situation for himself and now must decide how to minimize his losses. China’s support of Putin is not new and changes nothing.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong, as demonstrated by about 1.2M jobs that were created in November, December, and January. The Biden White House demonstrated its confusion and fecklessness by panicking over a horribly inaccurate early estimate of the January jobs report.
5. High inflation is still badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022, but only gradually as supply and demand get more in balance.

An Easy Supreme Court Confirmation? Maybe

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In-Brief

1. The approval ratings of President Biden and VP Harris continue to hover around 40%. It is hard to see what they can to do to raise those numbers meaningfully before the November elections.
2. Supreme Court Justice Breyer is retiring. Expect a bitter fight over confirming the Biden promised black female nominee if she is a radical, but minimal ugly fighting if he chooses a mainstream liberal.
3. If Russia launches an invasion of the Ukraine, the US and Europe will respond very strongly, but not with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be devastating for Russia and its oligarchs. President Biden has handled this crisis well so far, but the American people want no part of a war, and if one is avoided Biden will get less credit than he deserves.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year for 2021, growth came in at 6.9%, higher than expected. Between real growth and inflation, US GDP has now soared to $24T. Ironically, many Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is growing. But the stock markets are in a “correction” and the crypto markets are near collapse.
5. High inflation is still badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022, but only gradually as supply and demand get more in balance.

A Scary and Rapidly Changing World

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In-Brief

1.  From both the left and right there is agreement that last week was the worst week in Biden’s presidency.
2. The Democratic coalition is rapidly collapsing, led by Hispanics rushing to the exits.
3. If Russia launches an invasion of the Ukraine, the US will respond very strongly, but not unilaterally with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be devastating for Russia and its oligarchs. The US and NATO have now officially rejected Putin’s demand that the Ukraine be prohibited from future membership in NATO.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. Ironically, many Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming. But the stock markets are in a “correction” and the crypto markets are collapsing.
5. High inflation is still badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022.
6. In an embarrassing, but necessary reversal, Europe’s “greens” are now accepting investments in natural gas projects as environmentally sound.

Celebrating Martin Luther King

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In-Brief

1. Martin Luther King called for an America united around color blindness when it came to race, and equality when it came to opportunity. Biden and the left-wing progressives are calling for a return to segregation based on race and ethnicity.
2. The Biden presidency is effectively ending with the events of last week and those coming this week.
3. If Russia launches an invasion of the Ukraine, the US and NATO will respond very strongly. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be devastating for Russia and its oligarchs.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. December’s unemployment rate fell sharply from 4.2% to 3.9%. Ironically, many Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
5. But high inflation is badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022 as supply and demand come more into balance.

Violence Headed for Numerous European and Asian Countries

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In-Brief

1. America is likely to have good economic growth this year! And no stagflation. Inflation will slow gradually as the global supply chain untwists itself.
2. There will be widespread political violence in Europe and Asia over extreme energy inflation and authoritarian anti-Covid policies. Kazakhstan and France are facing violent protests now.
3. If Russia launches an invasion of the Ukraine, the US will respond very strongly, but not unilaterally with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be devastating for Russia and its oligarchs. The previous weakness of President Biden in Afghanistan, and the newness of German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, will force them to be resolute against Putin. The US and NATO have now officially rejected Putin’s demands that the Ukraine be prohibited from future membership in NATO.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. December’s unemployment rate fell sharply from 4.2% to 3.9%. Ironically, many Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
5. But high inflation is badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022.

Economic Optimism for 2022

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In-Brief

1. America is likely to have good economic growth this year! And no stagflation. Inflation will slow gradually as the global supply chain untwists itself.
2. Senator Joe Manchin is the Person-of-the-Year and the Patriot-of-the-Year.
3. If Russia launches an invasion of the Ukraine, the US will respond very strongly, but not unilaterally with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be devastating for Russia and its oligarchs. The previous weakness of President Biden in Afghanistan, and the newness of German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, will force them to be resolute against Putin.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. November’s unemployment rate fell sharply from 4.6% to 4.2%. Ironically, many Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
5. But high inflation is badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022.
6. Do NOT panic over the new omicron strain of Covid. As of today, it looks at worst to cause moderate health and economic problems. In the first weeks of the omicron strain spread across the country only 1 in 500 Americans contracting it have died. But be careful and protect yourself if you have other serious health problems.

HAPPY NEW YEAR!

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A Christmas Offer

Dear Subscribers,
Feel free to share your issues of the TR with friends or relative until the end of the year. Just forward your issue to them. Perhaps they’ll enjoy it and subscribe.

The subscription price will go up on January 3, 2022 to $99 for one-year and $175 for two-years.

Happy Holidays,
Al

In-Brief

1. Happy New Year!
2. The Biden Build Back Better [BBB] bill is dead in the Senate, mainly due to the common sense of two Democrats – Joe Manchin of WV and Krysten Sinema of AZ. Thank you and Happy New Year to Manchin and Sinema.
3. If Russia launches a major invasion of the Ukraine, the US will respond very strongly, but not unilaterally with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be very strong. The previous weakness of President Biden in Afghanistan, and the newness of German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, will force them to be resolute against Putin.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. November’s unemployment rate fell sharply from 4.6% to 4.2%. Ironically, many Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
5. But high inflation is badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022.
6. Do NOT panic over the new omicron strain of Covid. As of today, it looks at worst to cause moderate health and economic problems. But be careful and protect yourself if you have other serious health problems. Help is on the way from Pfizer and Merck in the form of anti-virus pills.

MERRY CHRISTMAS!

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Thanks,
Al

A Christmas Offer

Dear Subscribers,
Feel free to share your issues of the TR with friends or relative until the end of the year. Just forward your issue to them. Perhaps they’ll enjoy it and subscribe.

Happy Holidays,
Al

In-Brief

1. Have a Merry Christmas!
2. The Biden Build Back Better [BBB] bill is dead in the Senate, mainly due to the common sense of two Democrats – Joe Manchin of WV and Krysten Sinema of AZ. Senator Manchin stated definitely just yesterday he will not vote for it. Without his vote it is dead. A thank you and Merry Christmas to Manchin and Sinema.
3. If Russia launches a major invasion of the Ukraine, the US will respond very strongly, but not unilaterally with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be very strong. The previous weakness of President Biden in Afghanistan, and the newness of German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, will force them to be resolute against Putin.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%, with the 4^th quarter being very strong. US labor shortages are widespread. November’s unemployment rate fell sharply from 4.6% to 4.2%. Ironically, a large majority of Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
5. But high inflation is badly hurting tens of millions of American families. Inflation is likely to slow gradually in 2022.
6. Do NOT panic over the new Omicron strain of Covid. As of today, it looks at worst to cause moderate health and economic problems. But be careful and protect yourself if you have other serious health problems.

Biden Loses in the Polls, Courts, and Congress

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Al

A Christmas Offer

Dear Subscribers,
Feel free to share your issues of the TR with friends or relative until the end of the year. Just forward your issue to them. Perhaps they’ll enjoy it and subscribe.

Happy Holidays,
Al

In-Brief

1. It appears that Biden’s Build Back Better [BBB] bill is dying in the Senate, mainly due to the common sense of two Democrats – Joe Manchin of WV and Krysten Sinema of AZ. If they stick to their positions, they will be reviled by the Progressives but go down in history as American heroes.
2. If Russia launches a major invasion of the Ukraine, the US will respond very strongly, but not unilaterally with our own troops. The reactions will be political, financial, and economic, and will be very strong. The previous weakness of President Biden in Afghanistan, and the brand-new German Chancellor, Olaf Scholz, will be forced by internal politics to be resolute against Putin.
3. The Biden vaccine mandates are collapsing before our eyes as the American people demand their Constitution rights and freedoms be upheld. Numerous federal courts across the land are upholding those rights and freedoms, and some state courts are weighing in.
4. Numerous new polls and analyses of them by Democratic strategists show Democrats likely to suffer huge losses in the 2022 midterm elections.
5. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. US labor shortages are widespread. November unemployment fell sharply from 4.6% to 4.2%. Ironically, a large majority of Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
6. But high inflation is hurting millions of American families.
7. Do NOT panic over the new Omicron strain of Covid. Get accurate facts! As of today, it looks at worst to be a moderate health and economic problem.
8. China’s economic, financial, energy, and self-inflicted political problems continue, and they are making it far worse by abandoning market capitalism for socialism. Two of China’s biggest property developers and debtors are in default along with numerous other firms.

Biden Will Be Blamed for Mass Starvation in Afghanistan

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In-Brief

1. Millions of Afghan men, women, and children will be dying of starvation over the next six months. The blame for that will fall mostly on President Biden for the catastrophic policy mistakes he made in ordering the US pull-out from Afghanistan.
2. The Biden vaccine mandates are collapsing before our eyes as the American people demand their Constitution rights and freedoms be upheld. Numerous federal courts across the land are upholding those rights and freedoms.
3. The American people are well on their way toward taking back the Republic. And it is not just conservatives... it is being led by, of all people, by Bill Maher, a Democrat... and now by thousands of others. There are several hundred million of us – Independents, Democrats, and Republicans – fighting back and we are now winning.
4. The US economic recovery continues to be strong. Year over year growth looks likely to come in at about 6%. US labor shortages are widespread. Job growth in November was 210,000, below expectations. But the unemployment rate fell sharply from 4.6% to 4.2%. Ironically, a large majority of Americans think we are in a recession. We are NOT in a recession. In fact, the US economy is booming.
5. Do NOT panic over the new Omicron strain of Covid. Get accurate facts! As of today, nobody knows enough to say for sure how big a problem Omicron is.
6. China’s economic, financial, energy, and self-inflicted political problems continue, and they are making it far worse by abandoning market capitalism for socialism. Be very careful if you are an investor in China’s short-term or medium-term economic future.