THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Trump ends nuclear deal with Iran and returns sanctions.
2. Three Korean-Americans freed by N Korea in good-will gesture before June 12 summit.
3. Iran’s attack on Israel threatens major war.
4. Primaries in OH, NC, IN, and WV provided more evidence that a Democratic Blue Tidal Wave is NOT forming.
5. PREDICTION: The Democrats will gain 5 to 15 US House seats this fall.
6. PREDICTION: The Republicans will gain 4 to 7 US Senate seats.

Continue reading Trump Trashes Iran Deal; Iran Attacks Israel; Korean-Americans Welcomed Home; Primary Election Results Encouraging for Republicans

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. The unemployment rate in the US falls to less than 4 percent…lowest since Bill Clinton was President.
2. Kanye West is being viciously attacked and threatened with physical and financial retribution for his “bromance” with Trump.
3. The main targets for negative campaign ads this year will be Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton, Nancy Pelosi, and Robert Mueller.
4. Should an additional special counsel be named to investigate Hillary Clinton?
5. PREDICTION: The Democrats will gain 5 to 15 US House seats this fall.
6. PREDICTION: The Republicans will gain 4 to 7 US Senate seats. CHANGE: Senate gain prediction now 4 to 7, up from 2 to 7.

Continue reading Unemployment at Record Lows; Kanye West Threatened; 2018 Campaign Messaging – Negative On – Trump, Hillary, Pelosi & Mueller

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. N Korea is capitulating to US and Chinese demands because it has no other viable choice.
2. The “bromance” of Kanye West and other black entertainers with President Trump threatens the Democratic Party’s lock on the black vote.
3. Nancy Pelosi recognizes that talk of impeaching Trump is back-firing on the Democrats.
4. The Rasmussen Poll documents that likely voters trust neither the political news they are getting, nor the polls on which much of that news is based.
5. The Trump Foreign Policy Doctrine includes a commitment not to tell other nations how to live, govern, or worship. That has major consequences for the Korean negotiations.
6. PREDICTIONS: The Democrats will gain 5 to 15 US House seats this fall. But they will lose 2 to 7 US Senate seats.

Continue reading N Korea Caves to Trump & XI; Kanye West Threatens Dems; Pelosi – No Impeachment Talk

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. N Korea is capitulating to US and Chinese demands because it has no other viable choice.
2. Comey memos partially exonerate Trump on collusion with Russia and obstruction of justice.
3. Comey now reviled by Democrats and Republicans.
4. Criminal prosecution of Comey likely.
5. China becomes more totalitarian and warns on finances.
6. Hillary joins Trump and Pelosi as 2018’s “boogie men.”

Continue reading N Korea Capitulating?; Comey Helps Vindicate Trump; All Learn to Dislike Comey

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. The US- UK- French air attacks on Syria were designed to send messages to many.
2. N Korea has agreed to discuss de-nuclearization.
3. Trump’s highlights his powers to pardon with his clean slate for Scooter Libby.
4. Is it possible no major trade war will occur?
5. Prediction: The Democrats will gain 5 to 15 US House seats this fall.
6. Prediction: The Republicans will gain 2 to 7 US Senate seats this November.

Continue reading Messages to Syria, Russia and Iran; Trump Signals with Libby Pardon; N Korea to Talk De-Nuking

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Is the “trade war” real, serious, or mostly posturing before negotiations?
2. Trump’s grenade brand of negotiations and diplomacy; will it work or blow up?
3. Syria hammered because chemical warfare on its own people?
4. The National Guard is sent to protect the border.
5. Putin’s oligarch buddies punished by Trump.
6. Nancy Pelosi keeps helping the Republicans with their messaging.

Continue reading Trade War: Real or Faux; Trump Punishes Syria & Putin’s Oligarchs-Syria Next?; National Guard to the Border

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. North Korean dictator Kim was summoned to Beijing to receive his marching orders from “Emperor” Xi for the upcoming negotiations with President Trump. Kim was told he will de-nuclearize.
2. The 60 Minutes interview with Porn Queen Stormy Daniels did not change Trump’s approval or disapproval ratings.
3. A repeal of the 2^nd Amendment, as proposed by retired Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens, has no chance of occurring. It is so extreme an idea that it will cause a backlash preventing more sensible public safety measures.
4. The revival of the Roseanne Barr show created socio-political shock waves with blow-out viewership numbers.
5. It turns out that the March for Our Lives wasn’t a student led or dominated event. Research reported in the Washington Post and on MSNBC showed only 10 percent of the marchers in DC were students. The bulk of the 203,000 marchers were the standard anti-Trump, left-wing, upscale, middle-aged female protesters.

Continue reading N Korea’s Kim Goes to “Emperor” XI’s Woodshed; Roseanne Soars; 2nd Amendment Under Attack

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Trade wars across the Atlantic…trade wars across the Pacific…trade wars everywhere. Strategy, chaos, or both?
2. Look to Monica Lewinsky, Bill Clinton, and his women for clues on how to handicap the potential political effects on Trump from the porn queen and other women.
3. China versus the US– cold war, warm war, or hot war? China is not our friend. It is a geo-strategic competitor on many levels and the relationship is fraught with risks.
4. Aggressive John Bolton replaces General McMaster at National Security Council in a signal of an even more hardline foreign policy.
5. Conservative, pro-life Democrat barely survives the progressives in the Democratic civil war.
6. An impressive March for Our Lives draws hundreds of thousands.
7. Chaos reigns as the massive and needed federal budget is passed.

Continue reading Trade Wars Are Upon Us; The Porn Queen, Women, and Presidents; China Versus US; Aggressive Bolton In; Blue Dog Democrat Barely Survives Attack of Progressives

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Kim and Trump are surprisingly quiet as negotiations move closer.
2. China’s total societal debt, as a percentage of GDP, is larger than that of the US and is growing rapidly. It is a serious threat to China and the global economy.
3. Question of the day…does Trump want a trade war or are the steel and aluminum tariffs just a negotiating ploy? Free-trader Larry Kudlow just replaced another free-trader as Trump’s chief economic advisor. What gives?
4. The Democrats probably won the special election in PA-18 and definitely won the bragging rights. But, that race changes little about the handicapping of the fall elections.
5. Does Hillary Clinton have a political death wish for herself and her party? Seems so.

Continue reading Kim and Trump Quietly Move Toward Negotiations; The Chinese Debt Bomb Threatens World Economy; Democrats Gain in PA-18; Hillary Clinton Zings White Women

In-Brief

1. N Korea has asked President Trump to meet for negotiations about the future of N Korea and its nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles. This amounts to a capitulation by Kim Jong-un unless he thinks he can out-negotiate Trump. Successful economic sanctions created this opportunity.
2. China’s totalitarianism and its implications are ominous for the world and foreign investors.
3. Question of the day…does Trump want a trade war or are the steel and aluminum tariffs just a negotiating ploy?
4. The Texas primary results last week represent a debacle for the Democrats.
5. Italy’s governance is in chaos with more populism embraced by the voters.

Continue reading North Korea’s Kim Caves; Global Trade War or Trump Negotiating Strategy?; The Chinese Totalitarian Dictatorship; Political Chaos in Italy; Texas Disaster for Democrats