Still A No Wave Election; Democrats Gain in House; Republicans Gain in Senate; The Border/Immigration Issue Along with Jobs and Health Care Dominate

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Democrats are projected to win US House seats, but control of the chamber is up in the air. Turnout is the key.
2. The Republicans target competitive Senate seats currently held by Democrats. Many Senate races are too close to call.
3. Working for the Republicans are the jobs and border control/immigration issues. President Trump’s rallies have drawn massive turn-outs.
4. Working for the Democrats is the health care issue. Rallies highlighting President Obama and 2020 candidate Joe Biden have drawn more modest crowds.
5. If the Republicans do better than predicted, President Trump will deserve the credit. If the Democrats do better than forecast, the President will have earned the blame.
6. Overall turnout is expected to be up substantially from the 2010 and 2014 midterms, but which party gets a bigger advantage is still an unknown. High turn-outs favor the Democrats.
7. FINAL Prediction – The Republicans will gain anywhere from 2 to 6 US Senate seats. [Change from 3-8.]
8. FINAL Prediction – The Democrats will gain anywhere from 5 to 22 US House seats. [Change from 5 to 18.]
9. THE JOKE: In a democracy it’s your vote that counts. In feudalism it’s your count that votes.

Still a No Wave Election; The Invading Horde from Central America Threatens; Populist-Nationalists are the New Country Leaders

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

NOTE: THE MONDAY NOV. 5 REPORT WILL BE RELEASED THAT EVENING IN ORDER TO INCLUDE THE LATEST POLLS & DATA.

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Democrats are projected to win US House seats, but control of the chamber is up in the air. Turnout is the key.
2. The Republicans continue gaining ground in competitive Senate races and some Democrats are self-destructing.
3. The Florida bomber story will have little election impact. The migrant caravan will have much more after the Pittsburgh anti-Semitic carnage story plays out.
4. October 29 Prediction – The Republicans will gain anywhere from 4 to 8 US Senate seats. [Change from 3-8.]
5. October 29 Prediction – The Democrats will gain anywhere from 5 to 18 US House seats. [No change.]
6. THE JOKE: Did you hear about the Buddhist monk who refused Novocain during a root canal? His goal: transcend dental medication.

A No Wave Election... Not a Blue Democratic Wave; The Kavanaugh Circus Boosts Republicans; China Heads Toward Economic Slowdown

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

THE ELECTION SEASON HAS BEGUN! DON’T MISS THESE MAJOR STORIES!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Kavanaugh confirmation circus aids Republican candidates by 2 to 4%.
2. The Republicans are gaining a little ground in competitive Senate races and some Democrats are self-destructing.
3. China’s economic growth is slipping and its debt bubble growing.
4. October 22 Prediction – The Republicans will gain anywhere from 3 to 8 US Senate seats.
5. October 22 Prediction – The Democrats will gain anywhere from 5 to 18 US House seats.
6. THE JOKE: Two fish swim into a concrete wall. One turns to the other and says “Dam!”

The Kavanaugh Confirmation Circus Ends and the Consequences Begin to Emerge; The Republicans Gain Ground in Key Senate Races; The US has Declared Economic and Political War on China

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

THE ELECTION SEASON HAS BEGUN! DON’T MISS THESE MAJOR STORIES!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Kavanaugh confirmation circus and its consequences now move to the mid-term battle and the voters.
2. The Republicans are gaining ground in many of the competitive Senate races.
3. The US has declared economic and political war on China over both trade and power issues.
4. October 15 Prediction – The Republicans will gain anywhere from 2 to 9 US Senate seats.
5. October 15 Prediction – The Democrats will gain anywhere from 0 to 20 US House seats.
6. THE JOKE: She was only a whiskey maker, but he loved her still.

The Kavanaugh Circus Ends, But Not It's Consequences; NAFTA Morphs to USMCA in a Trump Victory; Susan Collins - A Voice of Reason

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

THE ELECTION SEASON HAS BEGUN! DON’T MISS THESE MAJOR STORIES!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Kavanaugh circus and its consequences now move to the mid-term battle and the voters.
2. The economy soars and NAFTA 2.0/USMCA emerges.
3. Susan Collins [R-ME] sets the record straight.
4. A week of victories for Trump.
5. Impeach Kavanaugh – a curious strategy by the Democrats.
6. China descends into even deeper totalitarianism.
7. THE JOKE: A dog gave birth to puppies near a road and was cited for littering.

The Never-Ending Kavanaugh Circus; The Burden Now Falls on the FBI; Blue Wave, or Red Wave, or No Wave?

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

THE ELECTION SEASON HAS BEGUN! DON’T MISS THESE MAJOR STORIES!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Kavanaugh circus gets even more destructive and sets very unfortunate precedents.
2. The FBI is charged with a one-week investigation.
3. It’s too early to know how the Kavanaugh circus will move the voters.
4. Will we see a Blue Wave, a Red Wave, or a No Wave election?
5. This week I’ve broadened the range of my election forecasts because extreme volatility has been created by the Kavanaugh circus. We do not know how it will affect the voters. Both the Ds and Rs claim it will help them. We’ll see.
6. THE JOKE: If you jumped off a bridge in Paris, you’d be in Seine.

Remove Trump as President Using the 25th Amendment?; The Kavanaugh Circus Continues; China Faces Economic War with US

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

THE ELECTION SEASON HAS BEGUN! DON’T MISS THESE MAJOR STORIES!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Kavanaugh circus gets even more destructive and sets very unfortunate precedents.
2. Economic times in US are excellent... too FEW WORKERS... wages and benefits rising... stock market records.
3. The NY Times may have tried to cause the firing of Rod Rosenstein in order to damage Trump.
4. China faces a full economic war with the US.
5. Want to create a negative image for candidates? Call them a socialist.
6. THE FACT: Abject poverty across the globe, has fallen from over 50% in 1960 to less than 9% now.
7. THE JOKE: Atheism is a non-prophet organization.

2018 Democratic Advantages & Republican Advantages; Times in the US are Very Good, But a Referendum on Trump?; Obama Enters the Election Fray to Cheers and Jeers

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

THE ELECTION SEASON HAS BEGUN! DON’T MISS THESE MAJOR STORIES!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. Economic times in US are excellent.
2. Both the Democrats and Republicans have significant advantages as we near the mid-terms.
3. Judge Kavanaugh suffers an underhanded attack.
4. The US – China trade war will worsen.
5. Obama joins the election fray, but adds little.
6. Sweden moves to the right.
7. THE JOKE: The soldier who survived mustard gas and pepper spray is now a seasoned veteran.

Kavanaugh Survives the Partisan Circus; Democrats Can't Find New Message; Will the US be Drawn into a Shooting War in Syria?

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. Judge Kavanaugh is likely to soon be Supreme Court Justice Kavanaugh. The circus atmosphere and incivility of his hearings cast the Democrats in a very negative light.
2. Some experts claim the 2006 election, where the Bush-led Republicans lost 31 House seats, is the best model for what will happen this year. I argue the best comparison is 1998.
3. Democrats continue to have only a “RIT” message … Resist and Impeach Trump.
4. China’s trade war with the US and its growing debt bubble threaten its short-term and long-term financial stability and its growth prospects
5. THE JOKE: The fattest knight at King Arthur’s round-table was Sir Circumference. He acquired his size from too much pi.

Democratic Progressives Snookered by Establishment; Progressive V. Conservative War for FL Governor; Trump Strategy on Trade Working, But He's Volatile

Readers and Subscribers,

To get full access to the Tuchfarber Report, a paid subscription is now required. See the Subscription info. Also, there is information on how to activate your subscription once you pay. Make sure you follow those instructions.

All of you now subscribed, paid or unpaid, will continue to get free versions of the TR Headlines and In-Brief sections, but only paid subscribers will get the In-Depth sections.

DON’T MISS A SINGLE ISSUE!

Thanks,
Al

In-Brief

1. The Democratic establishment snookers the progressives with rule changes that keep super-delegates in control.
2. Trump’s trade strategy is working but he makes things unnecessarily difficult.
3. Florida voters set up a classic battle for Governor between a radical left-wing progressive and a right-wing conservative.
4. The important confirmation hearings for Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court begin on Tuesday. Expect a lot of smoke, but little fire, and a lot of drama, but little change in existing impressions.
5. PREDICTION: The Democrats will gain 5 to 15 US House seats in the midterm elections.
6. PREDICTION: The Democrats will lose 4 to 7 US Senate seats in the November elections.
7. THE JOKE: Two silk worms had a race. They ended up in a tie.