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Midyear 2019 Predictions Update; Democratic Debates Become a Circular Firing Squad

Midyear 2019 Predictions Update; Democratic Debates Become a Circular Firing Squad

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In-Brief

  1. Over 95% of the Tuchfarber Report predictions for 2019 are correct so far.
  2. The Democratic debates last week were a circular firing squad with Kamala Harris and Donald Trump being the big winners.
  3. Because of the debate debacle, the odds a Democrat will win the Presidency in 2020 drops to 14%, down from 21% last month.
  4. Biden and Sanders were diminished by the debates and Kamala Harris gained stature.
  5. Trump and China’s Xi extended trade talks in an effort to agree on an acceptable deal.
  6. THE JOKE: “Politics is the art of looking for trouble, finding it, misdiagnosing it and then applying the wrong remedies.”

Coming Next Week

  • Additional predictions for the rest of 2019
  • Further analysis on impact of Democratic debates
     
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