Still A No Wave Election; Democrats Gain in House; Republicans Gain in Senate; The Border/Immigration Issue Along with Jobs and Health Care Dominate

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In-Brief

1. The Democrats are projected to win US House seats, but control of the chamber is up in the air. Turnout is the key.
2. The Republicans target competitive Senate seats currently held by Democrats. Many Senate races are too close to call.
3. Working for the Republicans are the jobs and border control/immigration issues. President Trump’s rallies have drawn massive turn-outs.
4. Working for the Democrats is the health care issue. Rallies highlighting President Obama and 2020 candidate Joe Biden have drawn more modest crowds.
5. If the Republicans do better than predicted, President Trump will deserve the credit. If the Democrats do better than forecast, the President will have earned the blame.
6. Overall turnout is expected to be up substantially from the 2010 and 2014 midterms, but which party gets a bigger advantage is still an unknown. High turn-outs favor the Democrats.
7. FINAL Prediction – The Republicans will gain anywhere from 2 to 6 US Senate seats. [Change from 3-8.]
8. FINAL Prediction – The Democrats will gain anywhere from 5 to 22 US House seats. [Change from 5 to 18.]
9. THE JOKE: In a democracy it’s your vote that counts. In feudalism it’s your count that votes.