The Odds of Trump Impeachment, Removal & Re-Election

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In-Brief

1. There is now a 50-50 chance the House will impeach Trump.
2. The odds Trump will be removed by the Senate remain at zero.
3. The probability Trump will be re-elected increases to 90 percent.
4. “Progressive” Democratic candidates, especially Elizabeth Warren, now have a large and growing lead over mainstream Democrats for their party’s nomination. Bernie Sanders’ health problems seriously damage his chances.
5. Watch Hillary Clinton to see if she hints she might join the nomination battle.
6. China has begun what is likely to be a slow, protracted crack-down on the Hong Kong protestors.
7. The Joke: Someday we’ll look back on this moment and plow into a parked car.