Unemployment Below 4% While Economy Booms; Democrats Have Identity Crisis; China is Too Weak to Win Trade War Against US

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In-Brief

1. The US unemployment rate again falls below 4% and the economy booms.
2. The US and China trade war is one that China is too weak to win. The US can both lose and win in a major trade war with China.
3. China once again adds to its already huge debt burden threatening a burst of its financial bubble.
4. The Democrats are in a major civil war and have an identity crisis that cannot be resolved before the November elections or before the 2020 elections.
5. The absence of an unpopular war, an economic boom, and relatively high satisfaction among voters about the direction of the country, all suggest that a Democratic Blue Wave in November is unlikely.
6. PREDICTION: The Democrats will gain 5 to 15 US House seats in the midterm elections.
7. PREDICTION: The Democrats will lose 4 to 7 US Senate seats in the November elections.