THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Is the “trade war” real, serious, or mostly posturing before negotiations?
2. Trump’s grenade brand of negotiations and diplomacy; will it work or blow up?
3. Syria hammered because chemical warfare on its own people?
4. The National Guard is sent to protect the border.
5. Putin’s oligarch buddies punished by Trump.
6. Nancy Pelosi keeps helping the Republicans with their messaging.

Continue reading Trade War: Real or Faux; Trump Punishes Syria & Putin’s Oligarchs-Syria Next?; National Guard to the Border

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. North Korean dictator Kim was summoned to Beijing to receive his marching orders from “Emperor” Xi for the upcoming negotiations with President Trump. Kim was told he will de-nuclearize.
2. The 60 Minutes interview with Porn Queen Stormy Daniels did not change Trump’s approval or disapproval ratings.
3. A repeal of the 2^nd Amendment, as proposed by retired Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens, has no chance of occurring. It is so extreme an idea that it will cause a backlash preventing more sensible public safety measures.
4. The revival of the Roseanne Barr show created socio-political shock waves with blow-out viewership numbers.
5. It turns out that the March for Our Lives wasn’t a student led or dominated event. Research reported in the Washington Post and on MSNBC showed only 10 percent of the marchers in DC were students. The bulk of the 203,000 marchers were the standard anti-Trump, left-wing, upscale, middle-aged female protesters.

Continue reading N Korea’s Kim Goes to “Emperor” XI’s Woodshed; Roseanne Soars; 2nd Amendment Under Attack

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Trade wars across the Atlantic…trade wars across the Pacific…trade wars everywhere. Strategy, chaos, or both?
2. Look to Monica Lewinsky, Bill Clinton, and his women for clues on how to handicap the potential political effects on Trump from the porn queen and other women.
3. China versus the US– cold war, warm war, or hot war? China is not our friend. It is a geo-strategic competitor on many levels and the relationship is fraught with risks.
4. Aggressive John Bolton replaces General McMaster at National Security Council in a signal of an even more hardline foreign policy.
5. Conservative, pro-life Democrat barely survives the progressives in the Democratic civil war.
6. An impressive March for Our Lives draws hundreds of thousands.
7. Chaos reigns as the massive and needed federal budget is passed.

Continue reading Trade Wars Are Upon Us; The Porn Queen, Women, and Presidents; China Versus US; Aggressive Bolton In; Blue Dog Democrat Barely Survives Attack of Progressives

THE TUCHFARBER REPORT

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In-Brief

1. Kim and Trump are surprisingly quiet as negotiations move closer.
2. China’s total societal debt, as a percentage of GDP, is larger than that of the US and is growing rapidly. It is a serious threat to China and the global economy.
3. Question of the day…does Trump want a trade war or are the steel and aluminum tariffs just a negotiating ploy? Free-trader Larry Kudlow just replaced another free-trader as Trump’s chief economic advisor. What gives?
4. The Democrats probably won the special election in PA-18 and definitely won the bragging rights. But, that race changes little about the handicapping of the fall elections.
5. Does Hillary Clinton have a political death wish for herself and her party? Seems so.

Continue reading Kim and Trump Quietly Move Toward Negotiations; The Chinese Debt Bomb Threatens World Economy; Democrats Gain in PA-18; Hillary Clinton Zings White Women

In-Brief

1. N Korea has asked President Trump to meet for negotiations about the future of N Korea and its nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles. This amounts to a capitulation by Kim Jong-un unless he thinks he can out-negotiate Trump. Successful economic sanctions created this opportunity.
2. China’s totalitarianism and its implications are ominous for the world and foreign investors.
3. Question of the day…does Trump want a trade war or are the steel and aluminum tariffs just a negotiating ploy?
4. The Texas primary results last week represent a debacle for the Democrats.
5. Italy’s governance is in chaos with more populism embraced by the voters.

Continue reading North Korea’s Kim Caves; Global Trade War or Trump Negotiating Strategy?; The Chinese Totalitarian Dictatorship; Political Chaos in Italy; Texas Disaster for Democrats

In-Brief

1. It is not clear yet whether President Trump or the Democrats will control the school-shooting debate. Trump is pushing the debate toward one of safety, away from the gun control versus 2^nd Amendment rights battle.
2. Notwithstanding which side controls the debate, history suggests only modest policy changes at the national level are likely. More changes are likely in Florida and some other states.
3. Does Trump want a global trade war, or is this a feint or posturing?
4. China has a new “Emperor” and catastrophic financial problems.

Continue reading Where to Now on Protecting Students and the American People?; Global Trade War?; The Chinese “Emperor” and Developing Financial Abyss

In-Brief

1. It is not clear yet whether President Trump or the Parkland students and the Democrats will control the school-shooting debate. It will not be the NRA.
2. Notwithstanding which side controls the debate, history suggests only modest policy changes at the national level are likely. More changes are likely in Florida and some other states.
3. Partisan political gerrymandering is a hot topic just now with numerous important court cases percolating. Much more important is MOVING-TRUCK GERRYMANDERING—where different types of Americans decide where they want to live. That gerrymandering has a much bigger impact on election outcomes than does how politicians draw lines to advantage their party.
4. The Democrat’s counter-memo to the Nunes memo added little to what we know but did give better context. The counter-memo ensures the issues will be discussed for at least a while longer.

Continue reading Where to Now on Protecting Students?; Leadership and Direction of Debate Unclear; Politicians can Gerrymander, But Where People Choose to Live More Important; Democrat’s Counter-Memo Changes Little

In-Brief

1. The Russians tampered with our election, but changed no votes or results, and did not collude with Trump.
2. The Florida school shootings are a tragedy with no solutions short of massive societal change, not just gun laws or mental health procedures.
3. A choice for Democrats—take green cards and eventual citizenship for the DACA “kids” now, or use them as a campaign tool this fall.
4. The US achieves the “impossible dream”—ENERGY INDEPENDENCE.

Continue reading Russian Election Tampering, But No Trump Collusion; Want your Teenage Child or Grandchild Incarcerated?; Democrats Flirting with DACA Danger; Energy Independence is Here!; Trump Budget DOA

2nd Anniversary Issue
The blog began in February 2016.
Thank you to all who have subscribed and especially those who financially supported it!

In-Brief

1. The Budget Deal reached Friday morning clears the deck of all major budget and debt ceiling disagreements between the Rs and Ds for almost two years. It represents effective, bi-partisan governing. Where are the cheers folks for good governing?
2. The details in the House Intelligence committee memo confirmed reporting of incompetence and political corruption at the FBI and DOJ. The Democratic counter-memo, now being reviewed by the White House and FBI, promises to bring context, but also keeps the issue on the front page.
3. N Korea’s Charm strategy at the Olympics is a ruse and will fail. Many will buy it, but the US leadership will not and will ratchet-up the pressure.
4. Trump’s White House continues a long string of failures to do adequate vetting of personnel.
5. And, what, pray tell, is the new Democratic strategy and message now that “Resist Trump” has collapsed?

Continue reading Massive Budget Deal Clears the Deck; Democrats Help Keep FBI & DOJ Political Corruption Story Alive; N Korean Olympics Charm Strategy will Fail; Trump & White House Again Botch Personnel Vetting; The Democratic Strategy is now What?

Accurate Facts, Analysis, and Forecasts

In Brief

1. Trump’s State-of-the-Union speech was a tremendous success, approved of by three-quarters of the 50 million Americans who watched. The Democrats got low marks and were rated as petulant for sitting on their hands.
2. The details in the House Intelligence committee memo confirmed reporting of incompetence and political corruption at the FBI and DOJ.
3. Gallup Poll-Knight Foundation study— three-quarters of Americans think inaccurate internet-based news is a major problem.
4. Democrats are searching for a new leader and “voice.”

Continue reading Will the Real Trump Please Stand Up!; FBI & DOJ: Malfeasance, Political Corruption, or Both; Inaccurate Internet News a Major Problem